Damn Statistics
Back in 1989 I was naive enough to believe that gun violence statistics could "prove" that gun laws did society no good, and that any reasonable person could be swayed by a reasonable argument. So I spent several hours poring through printouts, bound reports and microfiche at the Bureau of Statistics in downtown Brisbane trying to build up a picture of armed crime trends through Australian States. At that time there was a lot of difference between tightly controlled states (Victoria and West Australia) and those with more freedom (Tasmania and Queensland). I had never seen figures that compared crime rates directly between states.
It became apparent that the figures that were published by this government department were patently unhelpful. Armed crime was in no way broken down by weapon, so everything from broken bottles to baseball bats was included. Added to this, every state used slightly different criteria, so no direct comparisons could be made. I left with pages of notes, little to none of it useful.
Coincidentally, several weeks later the Courier-Mail (Brisbane's major newspaper) ran a front page story, quoting the secretary of the ABEU (Australian Bank Employees' Union) as saying that Queensland's gun laws were woefully inadequate in light of some worrying statistics. He stated that in 1987, 156 people were killed by firearms in Queensland. This indicated to him that the present laws were not working, and new measures (licensing, registration, yada, yada) should be introduced immediately.
Having recently spent a joyless afternoon looking for just those figures at the Bureau of Statistics, I was more than a little surprised to see them in print. For a state with a population of just over 3 million, it seemed to be a high number of deaths. Especially since the implication was 156 murders.
So I called Mr Secretary of the ABEU, and lucked out on my first attempt. Every subsequent call I made was met with his absence due to a meeting, day off or the dog ate his homework. Anyway, before I became persona non grata he told me where he acquired his information. It seems that he had been invited to the inner sanctum of the Bureau of Statistics, the Unpublished Data Section. Armed with the name of his contact, I called the Bureau immediately.
Mr UDS was happy to supply me with exactly the figures he had given to Mr ABEU. They were as follows:
Immediately I asked if he knew that his figures had been used to grossly misrepresent gun deaths as homicides to scare the heck out of the public for purely political gain. He was unaware of the Courier-Mail article, and I believe was genuinely annoyed that Mr ABEU had pulled such a stunt. He made it clear that Mr ABEU would no longer be welcome in his department, but there was little else he could do. He suggested I take the real figures to the Courier-Mail and ask for an editorial clarification.
This I attempted on several occasions. The problem was making them understand that suicides that happen to be carried out with a firearm have little in common with somebody being killed in cold blood. In fact, 156 people were killed with firearms, so there was nothing else they wanted to add. Reporting the news was apparently a convenient way of pushing their own barrow. This became abundantly clear a few years later when the FOAA (Firearm Owners' Association of Australia) tried to buy a full page advertisement a few days before a Queensland State election, warning gun owners of the Labor Party's stance on gun laws. The advertisement never appeared, and the copy with check was only posted back when it was too late to find another outlet.
The ABEU had a wonderful track record in "protecting" its members. Back in the early 1980s they lobbied and succeeded in having firearms removed from all bank tellers. In the bigger branches there would be one designated teller who had easy access to a handgun should there be an attempted armed holdup. In truth these tellers were not adequately trained, and could have caused more harm than good. It was, however, a deterrent to would-be bandits. But the ABEU, for reasons best known to themselves, made such a production of announcing to the world that none of their tellers would be armed any more, that armed holdups increased significantly from that time on.
It became apparent that the figures that were published by this government department were patently unhelpful. Armed crime was in no way broken down by weapon, so everything from broken bottles to baseball bats was included. Added to this, every state used slightly different criteria, so no direct comparisons could be made. I left with pages of notes, little to none of it useful.
Coincidentally, several weeks later the Courier-Mail (Brisbane's major newspaper) ran a front page story, quoting the secretary of the ABEU (Australian Bank Employees' Union) as saying that Queensland's gun laws were woefully inadequate in light of some worrying statistics. He stated that in 1987, 156 people were killed by firearms in Queensland. This indicated to him that the present laws were not working, and new measures (licensing, registration, yada, yada) should be introduced immediately.
Having recently spent a joyless afternoon looking for just those figures at the Bureau of Statistics, I was more than a little surprised to see them in print. For a state with a population of just over 3 million, it seemed to be a high number of deaths. Especially since the implication was 156 murders.
So I called Mr Secretary of the ABEU, and lucked out on my first attempt. Every subsequent call I made was met with his absence due to a meeting, day off or the dog ate his homework. Anyway, before I became persona non grata he told me where he acquired his information. It seems that he had been invited to the inner sanctum of the Bureau of Statistics, the Unpublished Data Section. Armed with the name of his contact, I called the Bureau immediately.
Mr UDS was happy to supply me with exactly the figures he had given to Mr ABEU. They were as follows:
| Homicides | 11 |
| Accidents | 14 |
| Legal Intervention | 1 |
| Suicides | 130 |
| Total | 156 |
Immediately I asked if he knew that his figures had been used to grossly misrepresent gun deaths as homicides to scare the heck out of the public for purely political gain. He was unaware of the Courier-Mail article, and I believe was genuinely annoyed that Mr ABEU had pulled such a stunt. He made it clear that Mr ABEU would no longer be welcome in his department, but there was little else he could do. He suggested I take the real figures to the Courier-Mail and ask for an editorial clarification.
This I attempted on several occasions. The problem was making them understand that suicides that happen to be carried out with a firearm have little in common with somebody being killed in cold blood. In fact, 156 people were killed with firearms, so there was nothing else they wanted to add. Reporting the news was apparently a convenient way of pushing their own barrow. This became abundantly clear a few years later when the FOAA (Firearm Owners' Association of Australia) tried to buy a full page advertisement a few days before a Queensland State election, warning gun owners of the Labor Party's stance on gun laws. The advertisement never appeared, and the copy with check was only posted back when it was too late to find another outlet.
The ABEU had a wonderful track record in "protecting" its members. Back in the early 1980s they lobbied and succeeded in having firearms removed from all bank tellers. In the bigger branches there would be one designated teller who had easy access to a handgun should there be an attempted armed holdup. In truth these tellers were not adequately trained, and could have caused more harm than good. It was, however, a deterrent to would-be bandits. But the ABEU, for reasons best known to themselves, made such a production of announcing to the world that none of their tellers would be armed any more, that armed holdups increased significantly from that time on.
